Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Election Night's Silver Lining



Nate Silver is a writer first of all, but second, his niche is that he knows statistics backward and forward.  He rose to prominence with some amazing statistics and their consequent predictions based on the the old national pastime which impressed certain portions of the baseball world  

Nate Silver now called this election weeks ahead of the actual voting.  His particular brand of selection of data to value has been proven to be astonishing.  The last two elections have shown him to have amazing powers to predict outcomes.  

Next election should find him in a vastly different position than he was in this one.


We had been tied to Nate Silver’s 538 Blog for a couple of weeks and the election went pretty well as we all expected it.  He performed almost down to the last detail.  As Bill Clinton said about something else, “It’s mathematics!”  Why the number 538? that is the total number of electors who will vote in the electoral college. 

Two big surprises:  One, why the Romney camp was so stunned by the outcome and the other was that he conceded that night.  Apparently though, Romney had arrived in his headquarters in Boston with his acceptance speech already memorized.  

Next election the republicans will probably have someone keep an eye on Silver's blog.  Remember, it's 538.  

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